Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28
Published 3:28 pm Monday, January 27, 2025
Tuesday’s contest between the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) and No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) squaring off at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 78-71 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will start at 7:00 PM ET on January 28.
According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Tennessee. The total is listed at 148.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
- Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
- Line: Tennessee -8.5
- Point total: 148.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Over (148.5)
Tennessee has a 13-7-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Kentucky, who is 9-10-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Volunteers are 7-13-0 and the Wildcats are 10-9-0. The teams score 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game with a +335 scoring differential overall. They put up 75.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) and allow 58.4 per contest (third in college basketball).
- Tennessee wins the rebound battle by an average of 8.5 boards. It is grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.8 per outing.
- Tennessee makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball), 2.0 more than its opponents (6.6). It is shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc (160th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 25.4%.
- The Volunteers rank 92nd in college basketball with 99.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 77.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- Tennessee has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (68th in college basketball play), 2.0 fewer than the 12.2 it forces on average (140th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game, with a +230 scoring differential overall. They put up 88.1 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.0 per contest (296th in college basketball).
- The 36.5 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 25th in the nation, 4.1 more than the 32.4 its opponents grab.
- Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents. It shoots 36.9% from deep (51st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.2%.
- Kentucky forces 10.1 turnovers per game (313th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (34th in college basketball).
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