The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat (14-14-0 ATS) have covered the spread 41.9% of the time, 8.1% more often than the Hawks (13-18-0) this year.
• As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Miami is 4-4 against the spread compared to the 3-10 ATS record Atlanta puts up as a 2.5-point favorite.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31), which is more often than Miami’s games have (15 out of 28).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season, higher than the .364 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks rank eighth in the NBA with 117.2 points per game, but their defense has been less effective, surrendering 119.5 points per game (fourth-worst in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 rebounds per game this year (17th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by averaging 46 rebounds per game (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been one of the top teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are averaging 29.7 per game (third-best in NBA).
• Although Atlanta is averaging 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks are making 12.6 three-pointers per game (20th-ranked in league). They own a 35.1% shooting percentage (18th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat are 19th in the NBA in points scored (111.3 per game) and sixth in points conceded (108.6).
• In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the NBA in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• Miami is the fourth-best team in the NBA in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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