Saturday’s game that pits the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-5, 10-5 SEC) versus the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-5, 12-3 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 77-76 in favor of Tennessee. Tipoff is at 4 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (3.5) versus Tennessee. The two teams are expected to go under the 155.5 total.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -3.5
• Point total: 155.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -170, Alabama +140

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 77, Alabama 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Both Tennessee and Alabama are 16-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Volunteers are 11-17-0 and the Crimson Tide are 17-11-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 165.8 points per game, 10.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +380 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.3 points per game (171st in college basketball) while allowing 60.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
• The 34.5 rebounds per game Tennessee averages rank 59th in college basketball, and are 7.6 more than the 26.9 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Tennessee hits 8.5 three-pointers per game (95th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents (7.2).
• The Volunteers’ 100.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 79th in college basketball, and the 81.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fourth in college basketball.
• Tennessee has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 9.9 per game (50th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +319 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 91.5 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 80.1 per contest (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 7.3 boards on average. It records 39.8 rebounds per game, second in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.5.
• Alabama knocks down 10.6 three-pointers per game (11th in college basketball), 3.5 more than its opponents.
• Alabama has committed 12.5 turnovers per game (295th in college basketball), 2.5 more than the 10.0 it forces (312th in college basketball).

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