Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Miami Heat (26-30) are at home in Southeast Division play against the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Hawks (28-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 44.6% of the time, 3.7% more often than the Heat (25-31-0) this year.
  • As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Atlanta is 22-15 against the spread compared to the 15-15 ATS record Miami racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total 53.6% of the time this season (30 out of 56), less often than Atlanta’s games have (33 out of 58).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season while the Hawks have a .447 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • This year, the Heat are putting up 109.7 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 110.7 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
  • With 44.1 boards per game, Miami ranks 17th in the NBA. It allows 45.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • This year, the Heat rank 17th in the league in assists, putting up 25.9 per game.
  • Miami is committing 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) this season, while forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • The Heat are 11th in the NBA with 13.8 threes per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 17th with a 35.6% shooting percentage from downtown.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks are eighth in the league in points scored (116.7 per game) and fourth-worst in points conceded (119).
  • On the boards, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45.1 per game). It is 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game).
  • The Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
  • Atlanta is the fifth-worst team in the NBA in turnovers per game (15) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • At 13.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.9% from downtown, the Hawks are 15th and 20th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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