Tuesday’s contest between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) at Rupp Arena is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 75-74, with Tennessee securing the victory. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The over/under is currently listed at 149.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -2.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -138, Kentucky +115

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee is 15-9-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 11-12-0. The Volunteers are 9-15-0 and the Wildcats are 13-10-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams average 161.5 points per game, 12 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +372 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.8 points per game (165th in college basketball) while giving up 59.3 per contest (third in college basketball).
• Tennessee is 47th in the country at 35.1 rebounds per game. That’s 8.1 more than the 27 its opponents average.
• Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9).
• The Volunteers score 99.7 points per 100 possessions (90th in college basketball), while allowing 79 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
• Tennessee has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.2 per game (72nd in college basketball action) while forcing 11.7 (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats have a +234 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. They’re putting up 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and are allowing 76.6 per contest to rank 307th in college basketball.
• Kentucky grabs 35.9 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while allowing 31.9 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by four boards per game.
• Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 1.5 more than its opponents.
• Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (346th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (42nd in college basketball).

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