Tennessee vs. Missouri Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 5

Published 3:28 pm Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Wednesday’s contest between the No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers (18-4, 5-4 SEC) and No. 15 Missouri Tigers (17-4, 6-2 SEC) matching up at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 75-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will start at 7:00 PM ET on February 5.

According to our computer prediction, Missouri projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Tennessee. The over/under has been set at 133.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
  • Line: Tennessee -8.5
  • Point total: 133.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -450, Missouri +340

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 75, Missouri 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Missouri

  • Pick ATS: Missouri (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Tennessee has put together a 14-8-0 record against the spread this season, while Missouri is 12-8-0. A total of eight out of the Volunteers’ games this season have hit the over, and 10 of the Tigers’ games have gone over. The two teams score 157.9 points per game, 24.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Missouri has gone 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

  • The Volunteers have a +350 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.9 points per game. They’re putting up 74.5 points per game to rank 180th in college basketball and are allowing 58.6 per outing to rank third in college basketball.
  • Tennessee ranks 46th in the nation at 35.2 rebounds per game. That’s 7.9 more than the 27.3 its opponents average.
  • Tennessee makes 8.5 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) while shooting 33.2% from deep (223rd in college basketball). It is making 1.8 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.7 per game while shooting 26.0%.
  • The Volunteers average 99.0 points per 100 possessions (103rd in college basketball), while allowing 77.8 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
  • Tennessee has come up on top in the turnover battle by 2.3 turnovers per game, committing 9.8 (36th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.1 (140th in college basketball).

Missouri Performance Insights

  • The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 14.8 points per game, with a +311 scoring differential overall. They put up 83.4 points per game (17th in college basketball) and give up 68.6 per contest (88th in college basketball).
  • Missouri wins the rebound battle by an average of 2.4 boards. It records 32.1 rebounds per game (195th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.7.
  • Missouri makes 9.0 three-pointers per game (65th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents.
  • Missouri wins the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.9 (136th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.3.

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