Tuesday’s contest at Thompson-Boling Arena has the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2 SEC) taking on the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on January 21. Our computer prediction projects a 76-68 victory for Tennessee, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, the Tennessee versus Mississippi State matchup has a predicted spread that equals the actual spread (7.5). The two sides are projected to eclipse the 138.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -7.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -310, Mississippi State +245

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Pick Em
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Tennessee has an 11-7-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State, who is 9-9-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Volunteers are 7-11-0 and the Bulldogs are 10-8-0. The teams combine to score 159.7 points per game, 21.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 18.0 points per game with a +325 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.8 points per game (128th in college basketball) and give up 58.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
• The 35.5 rebounds per game Tennessee averages rank 50th in the country, and are 9.3 more than the 26.2 its opponents grab per contest.
• Tennessee hits 8.7 three-pointers per game (97th in college basketball) while shooting 34.9% from deep (121st in college basketball). It is making 2.1 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game while shooting 25.5%.
• The Volunteers rank 66th in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 77.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 2.2 turnovers per game, committing 10.2 (58th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.4 (133rd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 82.9 points per game (25th in college basketball) while giving up 70.1 per outing (136th in college basketball). They have a +230 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.8 points per game.
• Mississippi State pulls down 37.4 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball) while conceding 31.3 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.1 boards per game.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (104th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.3 on average.
• Mississippi State has committed 9.6 turnovers per game (25th in college basketball), 3.8 fewer than the 13.4 it forces (59th in college basketball).

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