Saturday’s game at Moody Center has the No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers (14-1, 1-1 SEC) squaring off against the Texas Longhorns (11-4, 0-2 SEC) at 6:00 PM (on January 11). Our computer prediction projects a 73-68 win for Tennessee, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The total is currently listed at 132.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Tennessee vs. Texas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Austin, Texas
• Venue: Moody Center
• Line: Tennessee -6.5
• Point total: 132.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -275, Texas +220

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Tennessee vs. Texas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 73, Texas 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Texas

• Pick ATS: Texas (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (132.5)

Tennessee is 10-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas’ 8-7-0 ATS record. The Volunteers have gone over the point total in five games, while Longhorns games have gone over nine times. The two teams score an average of 160 points per game, 27.5 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Tennessee has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall. Texas has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers have a +304 scoring differential, topping opponents by 20.2 points per game. They’re putting up 77.3 points per game to rank 132nd in college basketball and are allowing 57.1 per contest to rank second in college basketball.
• Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 9.7 boards on average. It records 36.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 30th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 26.8 per outing.
• Tennessee hits 2.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.6 (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.
• The Volunteers rank 69th in college basketball with 101.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 75 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 10.3 turnovers per game (66th in college basketball play), 2.6 fewer than the 12.9 it forces on average (105th in college basketball).

Texas Performance Insights

• The Longhorns outscore opponents by 17.8 points per game (posting 82.7 points per game, 38th in college basketball, and allowing 64.9 per contest, 38th in college basketball) and have a +267 scoring differential.
• Texas averages 33.9 rebounds per game (122nd in college basketball) while conceding 29.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
• Texas knocks down 8.3 three-pointers per game (132nd in college basketball) while shooting 40.1% from deep (10th in college basketball). It is making 2.0 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.3 per game at 31.1%.
• Texas has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 9.1 (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (213th in college basketball).

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