Saturday’s game between the No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers (13-0, 0-0 SEC) and the No. 23 Arkansas Razorbacks (11-2, 0-0 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 76-66 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Tennessee squad coming out on top. Tipoff is at 1:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Arkansas projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Tennessee. The total is listed at 141.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -11.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -820, Arkansas +550

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Arkansas 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Arkansas

• Pick ATS: Arkansas (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Tennessee is 9-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Arkansas’ 5-8-0 ATS record. The Volunteers have a 5-8-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Razorbacks have a record of 6-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 162.6 points per game, 21.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall over its last 10 games, while Arkansas has gone 3-7 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +310 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.1 points per game (84th in college basketball) while allowing 56.2 per contest (second in college basketball).
• The 36.0 rebounds per game Tennessee averages rank 51st in the country, and are 10.7 more than the 25.3 its opponents grab per contest.
• Tennessee hits 8.8 three-pointers per game (105th in college basketball) at a 35.5% rate (112th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game its opponents make at a 24.6% rate.
• The Volunteers rank 26th in college basketball by averaging 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 74.5 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.1 per game (55th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.9 (118th in college basketball).

Arkansas Performance Insights

• The Razorbacks are outscoring opponents by 17.0 points per game, with a +222 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.5 points per game (52nd in college basketball) and give up 65.5 per contest (48th in college basketball).
• Arkansas comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.0 boards. It pulls down 33.0 rebounds per game (185th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.0.
• Arkansas connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (156th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.2 on average.
• Arkansas has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 1.6 per game, committing 11.8 (205th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (77th in college basketball).

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