Tennessee vs. Virginia Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 21

Published 7:32 pm Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Thursday’s game between the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) and the Virginia Cavaliers (3-0) at Baha Mar Convention Center is expected to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-55 and heavily favors Tennessee to secure the victory. Tipoff is at 9:30 PM ET on November 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Virginia. The total has been set at 126.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Tennessee vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, November 21, 2024
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Nassau, Bahamas
  • Venue: Baha Mar Convention Center
  • Line: Tennessee -11.5
  • Point total: 126.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -719, Virginia +500

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Tennessee vs. Virginia Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 79, Virginia 55

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Virginia

  • Pick ATS: Tennessee (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (126.5)

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Tennessee Performance Insights

  • On offense, Tennessee was the 52nd-ranked team in the country (78.8 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 55th (67.4 points conceded per game).
  • Last season, the Volunteers were 29th in college basketball in rebounds (35.9 per game) and 205th in rebounds conceded (32.0).
  • Last season Tennessee was 20th-best in the country in assists with 16.6 per game.
  • Beyond the arc, the Volunteers were 50th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.8) last season. They were 156th in 3-point percentage at 34.4%.
  • Tennessee gave up 7.4 3-pointers per game and conceded 31.2% from beyond the arc last season, ranking 190th and 36th, respectively, in the country.
  • Last year, the Volunteers attempted 58.8% of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 41.2% from beyond it. In terms of makes, 67.8% of the Volunteers’ baskets were 2-pointers, and 32.2% were 3-pointers.

Virginia Performance Insights

  • Although Virginia averaged just 62.9 points per game last season (third-worst in college basketball), it performed really well on defense, as it ranked third-best in college basketball by allowing 59.8 points per game.
  • The Cavaliers pulled down 29.4 boards per game (329th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 32.1 rebounds per contest (209th-ranked).
  • Virginia ranked 65th in the nation with 15.0 dimes per game.
  • The Cavaliers forced 11.2 turnovers per game last year (175th-ranked in college basketball), but they committed just 7.5 turnovers per contest (second-best).
  • The Cavaliers ranked 265th in the nation with 6.5 three-pointers per game last year. Meanwhile, they ranked 78th with a 35.8% shooting percentage from downtown.
  • Virginia gave up 6.4 threes per game last season (62nd-ranked in college basketball), and it allowed a 30.5% three-point percentage (24th-best).
  • Virginia took 67.4% two-pointers and 32.6% threes last year. Of the team’s baskets, 72.8% were two-pointers and 27.2% were threes.

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